Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RIOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-16 11.427943 13.065508 14.865405 16.992256 19.439172 22.168931 25.449132
2025-11-23 8.975706 11.051204 13.513378 16.656124 20.570678 25.298647 31.461712
2025-11-30 7.978592 10.357850 13.339057 17.362033 22.670100 29.463417 38.864142
2025-12-07 7.110633 9.638624 12.951026 17.629979 24.104004 32.796779 45.440009
2025-12-14 6.342710 8.923077 12.436846 17.600395 25.045770 35.469532 51.305485
2025-12-21 5.685310 8.266336 11.903404 17.440030 25.723562 37.764307 56.789518
2025-12-28 5.361208 8.038121 11.932670 18.060164 27.550812 41.842139 65.276808
2026-01-04 5.034690 7.764534 11.854472 18.488389 29.098094 45.606819 73.628935
2026-01-11 4.792667 7.589886 11.898239 19.090245 30.946719 49.978045 83.361727
2026-01-18 4.348927 7.053263 11.323470 18.639121 31.034811 51.500436 88.489413
2026-01-25 3.989612 6.618366 10.868399 18.331418 31.311890 53.328077 94.275842
2026-02-01 3.685564 6.246754 10.481672 18.095343 31.673149 55.304509 100.482707
2026-02-08 3.403536 5.892565 10.100729 17.845082 32.003446 57.286738 106.969778
2026-02-15 3.132569 5.534427 9.682380 17.488464 32.103824 58.855674 112.834621
2026-02-22 3.060834 5.521688 9.865591 18.231400 34.285862 64.434149 126.964060
2026-03-01 2.925455 5.381260 9.805864 18.513387 35.614883 68.512101 138.537181
2026-03-08 2.758217 5.167588 9.593107 18.482251 36.327183 71.447545 148.072030
2026-03-15 2.587666 4.933684 9.322983 18.313482 36.744938 73.823983 156.665740
2026-03-22 2.532102 4.916120 9.462577 18.966138 38.880002 79.867932 173.743863
2026-03-29 2.455343 4.850402 9.502134 19.416850 40.632587 85.270587 189.980169
2026-04-05 2.402903 4.828743 9.626138 20.050353 42.825355 91.802467 209.459688
2026-04-12 2.237744 4.564962 9.240999 19.575504 42.572803 92.991917 216.694796
2026-04-19 2.100561 4.349009 8.938036 19.251634 42.622626 94.849602 225.696886